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Dancing with the Stars Season 25 is underway, with a host of celebrities (term used loosely) ready to leave it all on the floor this fall.

Which cast members are most likely to emerge with the coveted Mirrorball Trophy, and who is most likely to be the first one out?

We’ve ranked the new competitors below, using their first-week scores as well as historical data and intuition, to take our best guesses.

Do you agree? Here’s our list of DWTS celebs beginning with the least likely to waltz away with the crown, and ending with the favorite(s) …